Single poll

Allensbach poll of 21 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
9 to 20 Feb 2025
Respondents
1,064
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • AfD20.0%±0
  • SPD14.5%-0.5
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.5%+1.5
  • FDP4.5%-0.5
  • BSW4.5%+0.5
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 14 Feb 2025.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,064 people were surveyed from 9 to 20 Feb 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 14 Feb 2025, Linke gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 30.0
  • Grüne -1.4average 13.4
  • Linke +0.9average 6.6
  • SPD -0.8average 15.3
  • AfD -0.3average 20.3
  • FDP +0.2average 4.3
  • BSW -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 234 seatsAfD: 147 seatsSPD: 106 seatsGrüne: 88 seatsLinke: 55 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU234
  • AfD147
  • SPD106
  • Grüne88
  • Linke55
  • CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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