Allensbach poll of 27 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2025 to 11 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,031
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.5%-2.5
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.5
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- Linke10.0%+2.5
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- FDP3.0%-1.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Feb 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,031 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2025 to 11 Mar 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, Linke gains 2.5 points, SPD gains 1.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.4average 8.6
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 28.4
- Grüne -1.0average 12.5
- FDP -0.9average 3.9
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- AfD -0.6average 21.6
- BSW -0.4average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU211
- AfD150
- SPD115
- Grüne82
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.