Allensbach poll of 19 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Mar 2025 to 9 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,048
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.5
- AfD23.5%+2.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Mar 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.5%. 1,048 people were surveyed from 28 Mar 2025 to 9 Apr 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, AfD gains 2.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 25.6
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- AfD -0.5average 24.0
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
- BSW -0.3average 4.3
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- AfD167
- SPD114
- Grüne86
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.