Allensbach poll of 24 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 14 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,032
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- AfD22.5%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Apr 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 22.5%. 1,032 people were surveyed from 3 to 14 May 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Apr 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher and SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 26.3
- SPD +1.6average 15.4
- AfD -1.5average 24.0
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD160
- SPD121
- Grüne78
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.