Single poll

Allensbach poll of 20 June 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
1 to 12 Jun 2025
Respondents
1,054
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • AfD23.0%+0.5
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 May 2025.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,054 people were surveyed from 1 to 12 Jun 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 27.4
  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • Linke -0.9average 9.9
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • FDP +0.6average 3.4
  • BSW -0.1average 4.1
  • AfD ±0average 23.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 208 seatsAfD: 165 seatsSPD: 114 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU208
  • AfD165
  • SPD114
  • Grüne79
  • Linke64
  • CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke343 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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