Allensbach poll of 19 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 16 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 1,054
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD23.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Jun 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,054 people were surveyed from 4 to 16 Jul 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Jun 2025, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.4average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 27.8
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- SPD +0.6average 14.4
- BSW -0.5average 4.0
- AfD -0.4average 23.4
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- AfD165
- SPD107
- Grüne86
- Linke64
- CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.