Allensbach poll of 21 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 14 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,051
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- AfD22.5%-0.5
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Jul 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 22.5%. 1,051 people were surveyed from 1 to 14 Aug 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Jul 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 2.2 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.2average 24.7
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 26.1
- SPD +1.9average 14.1
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- AfD162
- SPD115
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD317 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.