Allensbach poll of 24 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 17 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,013
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD24.0%+1.5
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Aug 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,013 people were surveyed from 5 to 17 Sep 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Aug 2025, AfD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.5average 25.5
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 25.7
- BSW -1.1average 4.1
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- Grüne -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD172
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.