Allensbach poll of 17 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Sep 2025 to 10 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,044
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Sep 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,044 people were surveyed from 26 Sep 2025 to 10 Oct 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.5average 25.5
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.