Allensbach poll of 14 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Oct 2025 to 6 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,011
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD24.0%-1.0
- SPD15.5%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 Oct 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 23 Oct 2025 to 6 Nov 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 Oct 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 25.8
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 25.6
- SPD +0.9average 14.6
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- BSW +0.6average 3.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.1
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- AfD173
- SPD112
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke378 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.