Allensbach poll of 11 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 22 Nov 2025 to 4 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 1,029
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.5
- Grüne12.5%+1.5
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP4.5%+1.0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 14 Nov 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,029 people were surveyed from 22 Nov 2025 to 4 Dec 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 14 Nov 2025, SPD loses 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 25.4
- Linke -1.4average 10.4
- FDP +1.0average 3.5
- AfD -0.8average 25.8
- Grüne +0.8average 11.7
- BSW -0.8average 3.8
- SPD -0.3average 14.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- AfD180
- SPD101
- Grüne90
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.