Allensbach poll of 31 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 19 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,077
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.5%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP3.5%-1.0
- Others8.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 11 Dec 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,077 people were surveyed from 6 to 19 Jan 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 11 Dec 2025, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 25.4
- Grüne -0.6average 12.1
- AfD -0.4average 25.4
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- FDP ±0average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- AfD178
- SPD107
- Grüne82
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.