Allensbach poll of 2 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 19 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,052
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD24.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%+0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 31 Jan 2026.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,052 people were surveyed from 6 to 19 Feb 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 31 Jan 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 25.3
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- AfD -0.8average 24.8
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- AfD170
- SPD113
- Grüne85
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.