Allensbach poll of 21 March 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2026 to 12 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,045
- Method
- Persönlich
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,045 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 2 Mar 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.7average 26.3
- SPD +1.5average 14.5
- Grüne -1.5average 13.0
- AfD -1.0average 24.0
- FDP +0.9average 3.1
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- AfD164
- SPD114
- Grüne82
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.