Allensbach poll of 23 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 19 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,015
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU34.0%-2.0
- AfD20.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.5%+1.5
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Dec 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,015 people were surveyed from 7 to 19 Jan 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Dec 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.8average 30.2
- SPD +0.8average 16.2
- AfD +0.4average 19.6
- Grüne -0.4average 13.9
- BSW -0.1average 5.1
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- AfD141
- SPD120
- Grüne95
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.