Allensbach poll of 20 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Nov 2024 to 12 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%+2.0
- BSW6.0%-1.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Nov 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 30 Nov 2024 to 12 Dec 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Nov 2024, Grüne gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 4.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +4.6average 31.4
- Grüne -1.3average 13.3
- AfD -0.4average 18.4
- SPD -0.3average 16.3
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
- BSW +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU258
- AfD129
- SPD114
- Grüne86
- BSW43
- CDU/CSU + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.