Allensbach poll of 22 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 14 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,049
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU37.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne10.0%-0.5
- BSW7.5%-1.5
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Others9.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Oct 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,049 people were surveyed from 2 to 14 Nov 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Oct 2024, BSW loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 4.6 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +4.6average 32.4
- Grüne -1.7average 11.7
- AfD -1.3average 18.3
- BSW +1.0average 6.5
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU269
- AfD124
- SPD109
- Grüne73
- BSW55
- CDU/CSU + AfD393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.