Allensbach poll of 19 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 11 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,270
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU28.5%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%+0.5
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Nov 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,270 people were surveyed from 1 to 11 Dec 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Nov 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.3average 13.7
- FDP -1.3average 8.3
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 27.3
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- Linke -0.5average 9.0
- Grüne -0.2average 21.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- Grüne139
- SPD100
- AfD100
- Linke56
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.