Allensbach poll of 19 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 13 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,298
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.5%±0
- Grüne21.5%-2.0
- AfD14.5%+1.5
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP7.5%+1.0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Oct 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 1,298 people were surveyed from 2 to 13 Nov 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Oct 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.0 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.0average 26.5
- Linke -1.5average 9.5
- Grüne +0.7average 20.8
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- AfD +0.5average 14.0
- FDP -0.4average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- Grüne142
- AfD96
- SPD93
- Linke53
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.