Allensbach poll of 29 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 22 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,273
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU28.5%±0
- Grüne23.5%+2.5
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Dec 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.5%. 1,273 people were surveyed from 9 to 22 Jan 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Dec 2019, Grüne gains 2.5 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 1.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 21.9
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 27.0
- AfD -1.1average 14.1
- Linke -0.9average 8.9
- SPD +0.6average 13.4
- FDP -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- Grüne156
- SPD93
- AfD86
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.