Allensbach poll of 19 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 12 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 1,262
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.5%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%-0.5
- SPD14.5%+0.5
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke9.5%+1.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 29 Jan 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,262 people were surveyed from 1 to 12 Feb 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 29 Jan 2020, Linke gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.5average 6.5
- Grüne +1.3average 21.7
- AfD -0.8average 13.8
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 26.9
- SPD -0.2average 14.7
- Linke -0.2average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne151
- SPD96
- AfD86
- Linke63
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.