Allensbach poll of 25 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 18 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,219
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.5
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD16.5%+2.0
- AfD11.5%-1.5
- Linke8.0%-1.5
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Feb 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,219 people were surveyed from 5 to 18 Mar 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Feb 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 21.4
- SPD +1.2average 15.3
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 29.6
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- AfD -0.3average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne153
- SPD110
- AfD76
- Linke53
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke321 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.