Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
1 to 15 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,152
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+9.0
  • Grüne19.0%-4.0
  • SPD16.0%-0.5
  • AfD9.0%-2.5
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Mar 2020.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,152 people were surveyed from 1 to 15 Apr 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 9.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, AfD loses 2.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.2average 16.8
  • AfD -0.9average 9.9
  • Linke -0.7average 7.7
  • SPD -0.4average 16.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 37.7
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsGrüne: 126 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • Grüne126
  • SPD106
  • AfD60
  • Linke46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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