Single poll

Allensbach poll of 21 May 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
6 to 14 May 2020
Respondents
1,013
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD15.5%-0.5
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP5.5%-0.5
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Apr 2020.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,013 people were surveyed from 6 to 14 May 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Apr 2020, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 2.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.7average 16.3
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • Linke -0.9average 7.9
  • FDP -0.3average 5.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 38.1
  • SPD +0.1average 15.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 255 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsSPD: 104 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 47 seatsFDP: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU255
  • Grüne127
  • SPD104
  • AfD60
  • Linke47
  • FDP37
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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