Allensbach poll of 18 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 1,314
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU40.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.5%-0.5
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- AfD9.5%+0.5
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP4.5%-1.0
- Others4.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 May 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.5%. 1,314 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 Jun 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 May 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 38.6
- SPD +1.3average 14.7
- FDP -1.3average 5.8
- Grüne +0.9average 17.6
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- AfD +0.2average 9.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU277
- Grüne128
- SPD111
- AfD66
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.