Allensbach poll of 22 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 16 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,237
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU38.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.5
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- AfD9.0%-0.5
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- FDP5.5%+1.0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Jun 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,237 people were surveyed from 3 to 16 Jul 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 17.9
- AfD -0.9average 9.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 37.4
- FDP -0.4average 5.9
- SPD +0.3average 15.2
- Linke -0.3average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU251
- Grüne132
- SPD102
- AfD59
- Linke50
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + Grüne383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.