Allensbach poll of 27 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 18 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 1,231
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU38.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.5
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-0.5
- FDP5.5%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Jul 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,231 people were surveyed from 5 to 18 Aug 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Jul 2020, SPD gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 15.4
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 36.6
- Grüne +1.0average 18.0
- AfD -1.0average 10.0
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- FDP -0.4average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU251
- Grüne126
- SPD112
- AfD59
- Linke46
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.