Single poll

Allensbach poll of 22 September 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
4 to 16 Sep 2020
Respondents
1,043
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.5%+0.5
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+0.5
  • Others4.5%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Aug 2020.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.5%. 1,043 people were surveyed from 4 to 16 Sep 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Aug 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • SPD +1.2average 15.8
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 36.0
  • Linke -0.8average 7.8
  • FDP +0.7average 5.3
  • Grüne +0.4average 19.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsGrüne: 129 seatsSPD: 112 seatsAfD: 59 seatsLinke: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • Grüne129
  • SPD112
  • AfD59
  • Linke46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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