Allensbach poll of 23 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 20 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,045
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU35.5%-1.5
- Grüne20.0%+0.5
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Sep 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,045 people were surveyed from 7 to 20 Oct 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Sep 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 15.2
- Grüne +0.7average 19.3
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- AfD -0.4average 10.4
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 35.7
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- Grüne132
- SPD112
- AfD66
- Linke46
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.