Allensbach poll of 18 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 11 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 1,286
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU37.0%+1.5
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD9.5%-0.5
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- FDP6.5%+0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Oct 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,286 people were surveyed from 1 to 11 Nov 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Oct 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.8average 15.2
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 36.1
- Grüne -0.9average 18.9
- AfD -0.6average 10.1
- FDP +0.6average 5.9
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- Grüne119
- SPD112
- AfD63
- Linke49
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.