Allensbach poll of 16 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2020 to 10 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 1,022
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- AfD9.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Linke7.0%-0.5
- Others4.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Nov 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,022 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2020 to 10 Dec 2020, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Nov 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 5.9
- SPD +0.8average 15.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 36.4
- AfD -0.6average 9.6
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- Grüne ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- Grüne126
- SPD109
- AfD59
- FDP46
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.