Allensbach poll of 28 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 20 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,080
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- FDP6.5%-0.5
- Others4.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Dec 2020.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,080 people were surveyed from 10 to 20 Jan 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Dec 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 35.9
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- AfD -0.4average 9.4
- FDP -0.2average 6.7
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- Grüne131
- SPD105
- AfD59
- Linke49
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.