Single poll

Allensbach poll of 25 February 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
4 to 17 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,082
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU37.0%±0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.5%+0.5
  • FDP7.0%+0.5
  • Linke7.0%-0.5
  • Others4.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 28 Jan 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,082 people were surveyed from 4 to 17 Feb 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 28 Jan 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.2average 34.8
  • Grüne +1.1average 18.9
  • SPD -0.8average 15.8
  • Linke -0.6average 7.6
  • FDP -0.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.1average 9.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsGrüne: 132 seatsSPD: 99 seatsAfD: 63 seatsFDP: 46 seatsLinke: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • Grüne132
  • SPD99
  • AfD63
  • FDP46
  • Linke46
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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