Allensbach poll of 24 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 21 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU28.5%-8.5
- Grüne21.5%+1.5
- SPD18.0%+3.0
- AfD10.0%+0.5
- FDP8.5%+1.5
- Linke8.5%+1.5
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Feb 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 8 to 21 Mar 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 8.5 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 30.5
- Grüne +1.5average 20.0
- SPD +1.2average 16.8
- Linke +1.0average 7.5
- AfD -0.4average 10.4
- FDP -0.3average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- Grüne143
- SPD120
- AfD66
- FDP56
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP319 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.