Single poll

Allensbach poll of 21 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
6 to 15 Apr 2021
Respondents
1,051
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU28.0%-0.5
  • Grüne23.0%+1.5
  • SPD16.5%-1.5
  • FDP10.0%+1.5
  • AfD9.5%-0.5
  • Linke7.5%-1.0
  • Others5.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Mar 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,051 people were surveyed from 6 to 15 Apr 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Mar 2021, Grüne gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.5 points, FDP gains 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 1.5 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.5average 15.0
  • AfD -1.5average 11.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 27.4
  • Grüne +0.6average 22.4
  • FDP -0.3average 10.3
  • Linke +0.1average 7.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 187 seatsGrüne: 153 seatsSPD: 110 seatsFDP: 67 seatsAfD: 63 seatsLinke: 50 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU187
  • Grüne153
  • SPD110
  • FDP67
  • AfD63
  • Linke50
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP330 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD317 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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