Allensbach poll of 19 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,027
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- FDP10.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+0.5
- Linke6.5%-1.0
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Apr 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,027 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 May 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Apr 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.6average 24.9
- FDP -1.2average 11.2
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- Grüne -0.8average 24.8
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
- Linke -0.4average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne161
- SPD107
- FDP67
- AfD67
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.