Allensbach poll of 16 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 28 May 2021 to 9 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,070
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.5%+2.0
- Grüne21.5%-2.5
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 May 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 1,070 people were surveyed from 28 May 2021 to 9 Jun 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 May 2021, Grüne loses 2.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher and SPD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.4average 27.1
- SPD +2.1average 14.9
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- FDP -1.1average 12.1
- Grüne ±0average 21.5
- Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- Grüne142
- SPD113
- FDP73
- AfD60
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.