Allensbach poll of 20 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 14 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,028
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU31.5%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%-3.5
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD9.5%+0.5
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Jun 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,028 people were surveyed from 3 to 14 Jul 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Jun 2021, Grüne loses 3.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 28.8
- Grüne -1.7average 19.7
- AfD -0.9average 10.4
- SPD +0.8average 15.7
- FDP +0.8average 11.2
- Linke -0.6average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU211
- Grüne121
- SPD110
- FDP80
- AfD64
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.