Allensbach poll of 28 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 22 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,243
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.5
- Grüne19.5%+1.5
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD9.5%±0
- Linke7.0%+0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Jul 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.5%. 1,243 people were surveyed from 3 to 22 Jul 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.0average 28.0
- AfD -1.1average 10.6
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- Grüne -0.2average 19.7
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- Grüne131
- SPD107
- FDP80
- AfD64
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke328 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.