Allensbach poll of 19 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 17 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,018
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU27.5%-2.5
- SPD19.5%+3.5
- Grüne17.5%-2.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.5
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 28 Jul 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 1,018 people were surveyed from 5 to 17 Aug 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 28 Jul 2021, SPD gains 3.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 25.4
- Grüne -1.0average 18.5
- FDP -0.7average 11.7
- SPD +0.6average 18.9
- Linke +0.6average 6.9
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- SPD131
- Grüne117
- FDP74
- AfD74
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne432 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.