Single poll

Allensbach poll of 28 August 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
18 to 26 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,038
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.5
  • SPD24.0%+4.5
  • Grüne17.0%-0.5
  • FDP10.5%-0.5
  • AfD10.5%-0.5
  • Linke6.0%-1.5
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Aug 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 18 to 26 Aug 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Aug 2021, SPD gains 4.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.6 points higher and SPD 2.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.6average 23.4
  • SPD +2.6average 21.4
  • FDP -1.4average 11.9
  • Grüne -0.9average 17.9
  • Linke -0.8average 6.8
  • AfD -0.5average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 175 seatsSPD: 161 seatsGrüne: 114 seatsFDP: 70 seatsAfD: 70 seatsLinke: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU175
  • SPD161
  • Grüne114
  • FDP70
  • AfD70
  • Linke40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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