Single poll

Allensbach poll of 8 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,258
Method
Persönlich
  • SPD27.0%+3.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.5%-1.5
  • AfD11.0%+0.5
  • FDP9.5%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 28 Aug 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,258 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Sep 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 28 Aug 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 4.2 points higher and FDP 2.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +4.2average 20.8
  • FDP -2.6average 12.1
  • SPD +1.6average 25.4
  • Grüne -1.2average 16.7
  • Linke -0.6average 6.6
  • AfD -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 181 seatsCDU/CSU: 167 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 64 seatsLinke: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD181
  • CDU/CSU167
  • Grüne104
  • AfD74
  • FDP64
  • Linke40
  • SPD + CDU/CSU348 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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