Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
16 to 23 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,554
Method
Persönlich
  • SPD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%+0.5
  • FDP10.5%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.5%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 8 Sep 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,554 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Sep 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 8 Sep 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.0 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +3.0average 22.0
  • Linke -1.5average 6.5
  • FDP -1.1average 11.6
  • AfD -0.9average 10.9
  • SPD +0.6average 25.4
  • Grüne +0.4average 15.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 177 seatsCDU/CSU: 170 seatsGrüne: 109 seatsFDP: 72 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD177
  • CDU/CSU170
  • Grüne109
  • FDP72
  • AfD68
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU347 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD347 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke320 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD317 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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