Allensbach poll of 20 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 14 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,045
- Method
- Persönlich
- SPD28.0%+2.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-4.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP14.0%+3.5
- AfD9.5%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,045 people were surveyed from 1 to 14 Oct 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, FDP gains 3.5 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.9average 26.1
- AfD -1.4average 10.9
- FDP +1.1average 12.9
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 20.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD191
- CDU/CSU143
- Grüne102
- FDP95
- AfD65
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU334 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP388 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke327 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.