Single poll

Allensbach poll of 18 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
29 Oct 2021 to 11 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,016
Method
Persönlich

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Oct 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,016 people were surveyed from 29 Oct 2021 to 11 Nov 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 21.2
  • AfD -1.0average 10.5
  • Grüne -0.8average 15.8
  • FDP +0.7average 13.3
  • SPD +0.6average 26.4
  • Linke +0.6average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 181 seatsCDU/CSU: 154 seatsGrüne: 100 seatsFDP: 94 seatsAfD: 64 seatsLinke: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD181
  • CDU/CSU154
  • Grüne100
  • FDP94
  • AfD64
  • Linke37
  • SPD + CDU/CSU335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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