Allensbach poll of 18 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Oct 2021 to 11 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,016
- Method
- Persönlich
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%+2.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP14.0%±0
- AfD9.5%±0
- Linke5.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Oct 2021.
In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,016 people were surveyed from 29 Oct 2021 to 11 Nov 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 21.2
- AfD -1.0average 10.5
- Grüne -0.8average 15.8
- FDP +0.7average 13.3
- SPD +0.6average 26.4
- Linke +0.6average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD181
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne100
- FDP94
- AfD64
- Linke37
- SPD + CDU/CSU335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.