Single poll

Allensbach poll of 22 December 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
1 to 15 Dec 2021
Respondents
1,069
Method
Persönlich
  • SPD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • FDP13.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.5%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%-0.5
  • Others6.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Nov 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,069 people were surveyed from 1 to 15 Dec 2021, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Nov 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has FDP 1.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.7average 11.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 22.4
  • SPD -1.3average 27.3
  • Grüne -0.6average 15.6
  • AfD +0.1average 10.4
  • Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 175 seatsCDU/CSU: 162 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsFDP: 87 seatsAfD: 71 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD175
  • CDU/CSU162
  • Grüne101
  • FDP87
  • AfD71
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU337 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD334 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD320 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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