Single poll

Allensbach poll of 26 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
6 to 20 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,090
Method
Persönlich
  • SPD27.5%+1.5
  • CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.5%-0.5
  • FDP12.5%-0.5
  • AfD10.0%-0.5
  • Linke5.5%+0.5
  • Others7.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Dec 2021.

In this poll Allensbach has SPD ahead on 27.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,090 people were surveyed from 6 to 20 Jan 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 22 Dec 2021, SPD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has FDP 1.9 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.9average 10.6
  • Grüne -1.5average 16.0
  • SPD +1.4average 26.1
  • AfD -1.0average 11.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 22.9
  • Linke ±0average 5.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 186 seatsCDU/CSU: 156 seatsGrüne: 98 seatsFDP: 85 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD186
  • CDU/CSU156
  • Grüne98
  • FDP85
  • AfD68
  • Linke37
  • SPD + CDU/CSU342 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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