Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
3 to 16 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,033
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+4.0
  • SPD25.0%-2.5
  • Grüne15.0%+0.5
  • FDP10.5%-2.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+0.5
  • Others6.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Jan 2022.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,033 people were surveyed from 3 to 16 Feb 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 2.5 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 25.6
  • SPD +1.1average 23.9
  • AfD -1.1average 11.1
  • Grüne -1.0average 16.0
  • FDP +1.0average 9.5
  • Linke -0.4average 6.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 182 seatsSPD: 169 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsFDP: 71 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU182
  • SPD169
  • Grüne101
  • FDP71
  • AfD67
  • Linke40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD350 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD337 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD320 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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