Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
9 to 21 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,041
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%+2.0
  • FDP10.5%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.5%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Feb 2022.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,041 people were surveyed from 9 to 21 Mar 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Feb 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.9
  • FDP +0.9average 9.6
  • SPD +0.3average 24.7
  • Linke -0.3average 5.3
  • AfD -0.2average 10.2
  • Grüne +0.1average 16.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 170 seatsSPD: 170 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsFDP: 72 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU170
  • SPD170
  • Grüne116
  • FDP72
  • AfD68
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke320 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke320 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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