Allensbach poll of 19 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,222
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.5
- Grüne18.5%+0.5
- SPD18.0%+1.5
- AfD13.5%+0.5
- FDP8.0%-0.5
- Linke8.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jan 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.5%. 1,222 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 Feb 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jan 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.5average 16.5
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- Grüne +0.5average 18.0
- AfD +0.5average 13.0
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- Grüne121
- SPD118
- AfD89
- FDP53
- Linke52
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.